Survivorship Bias – No One Remembers the Losers

Survivorship Bias – No One Remembers the Losers

Introduction It is easy to be swayed by stories of those who appear to have mastered the art of trading, generating impressive returns and thriving in the face of adversity, when it comes to understanding success in the financial markets. These triumphant stories can...
Long Weekend Leave Markets Subdued

Long Weekend Leave Markets Subdued

Last week was a busy week but with the long Easter break the week ended more subdued. An unexpected oil production cut from OPEC+ which spiked oil price. The week ended with Non -Farm Payrolls which came inline so now the market will be looking towards the Fed and if...
Are you skilled at trading, or just lucky?

Are you skilled at trading, or just lucky?

Cognitive Biases and the Illusion of Skill Cognitive biases such as confirmation bias and availability bias can have a significant impact on trading decision-making. These biases can cloud our judgement and distort our perception of reality, causing us to make poor...
Banking Fears Subside

Banking Fears Subside

Last week was quieter than expected. Initial fears of a full-blown banking crisis seemed to subside with Deutsche bank and US regional bank contagion fears all but gone for now. The US Dollar had a relatively quiet week with month / quarter end flows dominating. Both...