UK Hydrogen Projects Growth 2025 to 2030

by | Jan 9, 2025

Hydrogen Production and the UK Net-Zero Strategy

The UK’s transition to a hydrogen economy aligns with its Net-Zero 2050 strategy, which emphasises decarbonising industrial sectors, transportation, and heating.

By 2030, hydrogen is expected to play a pivotal role in reducing emissions, ensuring energy security, and fostering economic growth.

Key Drivers:

  • 1. Renewable Energy Expansion

    Offshore wind and solar power integration enable large-scale green hydrogen production. Increase in national Grid Capacity by accelerating green energy projects that are at RTB not based on the incumbent queuing system.

  • 2. Government Support

    Policies like the UK Hydrogen Strategy and financial incentives accelerate project development. (HAR1, 2 and 3).

  • 3. Industrial Applications

    Hydrogen adoption in sectors like steel, chemicals, and heavy transport drives demand.

Hydrogen Production Growth: Year-by-Year Breakdown

  • 2025: The Foundation Year

    Hydrogen production begins modestly, driven by pilot-scale green hydrogen projects such as the bp Aberdeen Hydrogen Hub and small contributions from low-carbon hydrogen initiatives. A total of 50,200 kg/day is expected, laying the groundwork for future expansion.

  • 2026: Accelerated Growth

    Projects like Gigastack and Whitelee Green Hydrogen, significantly increase hydrogen production. This year sees a shift towards green hydrogen, contributing to an estimated daily output of 120,000 kg.

  • 2027: Scaling Up

    By 2027, large-scale electrolysis systems are operational in projects such as RWE South Wales and others like Haush, driving a massive increase in capacity. Hydrogen production is estimated to reach 250,000 kg/day.

  • 2028: Industrial Integration

    Industrial hydrogen clusters in Teesside, Humber, and South Wales integrate hydrogen into energy-intensive industries. Offshore wind projects further bolster green hydrogen production, pushing daily output to 400,000 kg.

  • 2029: Peak Performance

    The hydrogen economy matures as flagship projects like Hydrogen Teesside and South Wales Industrial Cluster hit peak performance. The production scales to 600,000 kg/day, with a growing dominance of green hydrogen.

  • 2030: The Hydrogen Economy

    The UK achieves a mature hydrogen ecosystem with an estimated daily production of 850,000 kg. Green hydrogen accounts for a significant portion at around 300,000 kg per day, supported by extensive renewable energy deployment and the phase-out of carbon-intensive technologies.

Annual Summary from 2025 to 2030

The UK is at the forefront of hydrogen innovation, with a robust pipeline of projects aimed at supporting its ambitious net-zero targets. These projects encompass both green hydrogen, produced via renewable energy, and low-carbon hydrogen (primarily blue hydrogen), generated using natural gas with carbon capture and storage (CCS).

Yearly Production Estimates

The table below aggregates the expected daily production capacities of hydrogen (in kilograms per day) from all projects for each year.

Year

Daily Production (kg/day)

Key Factors

2025

50,200 kg/day Early-stage production, mainly pilot-scale green hydrogen and some blue hydrogen.
2026 120,000 kg/day Significant scaling up of green hydrogen projects like Haush, Gigastack and Whitelee.
2027 250,000 kg/day Rapid deployment of large-scale electrolysis projects and industrial clusters.
2028 400,000 kg/day Offshore wind integration boosts green hydrogen output significantly.
2029 600,000 kg/day Established projects hit peak production, more industrial hubs come online.
2030 850,000 kg/day Mature hydrogen economy, heavy focus on green hydrogen, large industrial clusters operational.

The UK’s hydrogen journey from 2025 to 2030 exemplifies the nation’s commitment to sustainability and innovation. With production expected to rise from 50,000 kg/day in 2025 and early 2026 (dependent on planning approvals) to 850,000 kg/day by 2030, the hydrogen economy is set to transform industries and contribute to global climate goals. As the technology matures and new projects emerge, the UK stands poised to lead the green energy revolution.

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