This catchy acronym represents “Orange Man Bad” versus “That Clown Zelensky,” which captures the current geopolitical buzz.
Without delving into the rights and wrongs of recent events, let’s focus on how these dynamics have and will shape our investment strategies.
Back on February 12th, we explored shorting the DJIA around 44,500. Since then, the market has dropped dramatically by 2,000 points at the time of writing.
While there could be more room on the downside in the coming weeks, it’s wise to lock in gains and stay flexible. Adjusting the stop to 43,250 and eyeing a profit-taking point at 42,000 offers a quick, rewarding win over just a few weeks. Though the outlook remains cautious, securing profits now positions us to watch future developments with confidence.
Similarly, we discussed shorting FTSE, and this has put in a small rally since then. I think holding this position could still pay off as the rally appears more knee-jerk than based on the economic picture. Volatility may test us, but it also opens doors to exciting possibilities.
The EUR/USD pair has surprised many with a rally, despite Europe’s focus on defence spending and intricate geopolitical talks. Should it near 1.0800, this could be a golden moment to consider a short position. The upward move feels puzzling given the economic backdrop, making this rally worthy of tracking closely.
As a seasoned analyst, I’ve long held that profiting from civil unrest, war, or human suffering isn’t my approach. This isn’t about preaching—it’s about smart risk management. Time and again, I’ve seen others chase such opportunities, only to find things change as soon as they enter a position. Staying risk-averse in these scenarios keeps us grounded and focused on sustainable gains.
That said, Western governments’ plans to boost military spending signal a potential lift for metals like steel, copper, and aluminium. We’ve already enjoyed solid profits in copper and aluminium this year, and while I’m currently square, I’m eager to dive back in if prices pull back far enough over the weeks or months ahead.
Wheat has also been a winner for us earlier this year, and its recent price tumble is hard to ignore. The sharp drop over the past two weeks hints at a buying opportunity on the horizon. Keeping a close eye on this market could lead to another rewarding move.
In the crypto space, the recent dip was no shock—and I even turned a modest profit from it. (But as I didn’t go into it in detail, that’s neither here nor there).
When it comes to the crypto sector, I am minded that advice and recommendations can be extremely sketchy, and those who rely on the advice of others need to treat advice with a certain amount of caution, especially when it comes from people with vested interests.
Back in late 2021, some major whales were touting Ethereum over Bitcoin, only to see Bitcoin today having outperform Ethereum significantly—BTC is up 50% while ETH has dropped 50%.
It’s essential to be open about one’s positions and the potential risks involved. Moreover, discussing losses is part of the educational process. I’ve been hit on trades before—like when I took a loss on a short EUR/USD position after Kamala Harris entered the presidential race, which caught me off guard.
Another time, a cocoa option trade didn’t pan out as expected, leaving me to reassess my strategy. But I believe in addressing these setbacks openly because it helps build trust and provides valuable lessons for both me and those who follow my insights.
If the person you are following disappears or doesn’t follow up on advice that didn’t go as planned, you have to treat that advisor accordingly.
The markets are alive with challenges and opportunities. By staying informed, principled, and adaptable, we can navigate these times with optimism.
Let’s keep watching, learning, and acting on the moments that align with our goals. The journey ahead, whilst extremely challenging, promises plenty to explore!
The post Forget EUR/USD. The popular trade is now in OMB/TCZ! first appeared on JP Fund Services.
The post Forget EUR/USD. The popular trade is now in OMB/TCZ! appeared first on JP Fund Services.
The post Forget EUR/USD. The popular trade is now in OMB/TCZ! first appeared on trademakers.