Contracts for Difference: Assessing the Merits, Risks, and Alternatives in Renewables

by | Sep 29, 2025

Recent remarks reportedly made by senior Conservative politician Robert Jenrick, suggesting the UK’s Contracts for Difference (CfD) regime should be scrapped in favour of focusing on fossil fuels, have reignited debate over the most effective way to secure energy supply and manage costs. But the discussion deserves a careful look at the CfD system itself, its advantages and limitations, and potential alternatives.

 

The CfD mechanism, introduced to incentivise low-carbon generation, offers a guaranteed price for renewable energy projects. When market prices fall below this “strike price,” the government pays the difference; if prices rise above it, generators pay back the excess. One clear merit is that CfDs provide investors with long-term certainty, enabling the deployment of large-scale renewable projects that might otherwise struggle to secure financing. Crucially, during periods of high fossil gas prices, CfDs have also helped shield households from soaring bills, a point highlighted by Frank Gordon of the Renewable Energy Association.

 

However, CfDs are not without drawbacks. Critics argue they can be administratively complex and inflexible, locking in strike prices that may not reflect rapid technological improvements or falling renewable costs. Some question whether the system encourages the most cost-efficient mix of generation, especially when alternatives like auction-based mechanisms, green power contracts, or more dynamic market-linked incentives could, in theory, deliver lower costs over time.

 

Here’s a concise comparison of CfDs and some common alternatives:

Feature

Contracts for Difference (CfD)

Market-Driven Pricing / Power Auctions

Direct Subsidies / Grants

Fossil Fuel Focus

Investor Certainty

High – guaranteed strike price Moderate – depends on market conditions Moderate – funding is upfront but may be limited Low – fuel prices volatile

Consumer Protection

High – shields households from price spikes Low – exposed to market fluctuations Low to moderate – depends on design Low – highly exposed to global fossil fuel prices

Encourages New Investment

Strong – long-term certainty attracts developers Moderate – competitive but riskier Variable – depends on funding cycle Weak – limited innovation in renewables

Administrative Complexity

Moderate to high – bidding and settlement processes Low to moderate – auctions can be simpler Low – straightforward grants Low – conventional fuel markets established

Flexibility / Adaptability

Low – fixed strike prices can lag tech changes High – responds to market Moderate – can target priorities High – can scale quickly but carbon-intensive

Alternatives to the CfD system often focus on market-driven pricing, direct subsidies, or targeted support for innovation in emerging technologies. These approaches can encourage efficiency and competition, but they also come with risks: without guaranteed returns, renewable projects may stall, and households could be left exposed to price volatility, particularly in a market still heavily reliant on imported fossil fuels.

 

Scrapping the CfD regime entirely in favour of fossil fuels may offer short-term relief, but it risks leaving the UK more exposed to global price shocks and undermining long-term climate goals. Any policy shift should carefully weigh the trade-offs: balancing cost, investor certainty, energy security, and decarbonisation.

 

Ultimately, the CfD system is not perfect, but it has delivered meaningful benefits, both for consumers and for the UK’s clean energy transition. A nuanced discussion should focus on refining and improving the mechanism rather than abandoning it outright, while exploring complementary approaches to keep energy affordable and sustainable.

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